https://macroodds.com Live Polymarket odds for the Fed, inflation, recession and Treasury yields, next to the official macro data. en-us https://macroodds.com/blog/when-will-the-fed-cut-rates https://macroodds.com/blog/when-will-the-fed-cut-rates When will the Fed cut rates in 2026? We break down the FOMC schedule, inflation data, prediction-market odds, and what it means for your portfolio. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/cpi-vs-pce https://macroodds.com/blog/cpi-vs-pce CPI vs PCE explained: why the Fed targets core PCE at 2%, how the two gauges differ on weighting and scope, and what the latest 2026 readings mean for rate policy. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/will-mortgage-rates-drop-2026 https://macroodds.com/blog/will-mortgage-rates-drop-2026 Will mortgage rates drop in 2026? We break down Fed policy, 10-year Treasury dynamics, and what prediction markets say about the path to lower rates. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/who-will-be-the-next-fed-chair https://macroodds.com/blog/who-will-be-the-next-fed-chair Who will be the next Fed chair? Kevin Warsh is now confirmed. We track how prediction markets priced the race and what his appointment means for rates. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/recession-odds-2026 https://macroodds.com/blog/recession-odds-2026 Live Polymarket odds, NY Fed model readings, the Sahm rule, and yield-curve data all in one place. Here is what the recession odds for 2026 actually say. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/what-are-prediction-markets https://macroodds.com/blog/what-are-prediction-markets What are prediction markets? We break down how Polymarket and Kalshi turn crowd wisdom into real-time odds on Fed decisions, elections, and more. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/us-national-debt-explained https://macroodds.com/blog/us-national-debt-explained The US national debt just crossed $39 trillion. We break down who owns it, what it costs to service, and why it keeps pushing interest rates higher. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/fomc-meeting-schedule-2026 https://macroodds.com/blog/fomc-meeting-schedule-2026 The complete 2026 FOMC meeting schedule: all eight dates, which meetings include the dot plot, what the Fed actually decides, and how to trade around each decision. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/inverted-yield-curve-recession-signal https://macroodds.com/blog/inverted-yield-curve-recession-signal The inverted yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession since 1955. We break down what it means, how to read the 10y-2y spread, and what the 2022-2024 inversion tells us now. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT https://macroodds.com/blog/how-to-bet-on-fed-rate-cuts https://macroodds.com/blog/how-to-bet-on-fed-rate-cuts A step-by-step guide to trading Fed rate cut prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering contracts, implied probability, fees, and strategy. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT