About the MacroOdds Editorial Desk
MacroOdds is an independent, reader-supported research site. The coverage and the MacroOdds model are written and maintained by the editorial desk below.
Marcus Ellery
Markets Editor
Marcus Ellery is the markets editor at MacroOdds. He builds the MacroOdds model, writes the Fed and recession coverage, and tracks every FOMC meeting and major macro release — comparing what Polymarket, Kalshi and CME FedWatch price against the official data from the Federal Reserve (FRED). He does not give financial advice.
Read how the numbers are produced on the methodology page, or more about the site on About MacroOdds.